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March 2008

Investment Choices for Tier I/II Members in QPP and All Tiers in TDA

This year, there will likely be new rules and new investments available. Watch for further news.

Your decision on how to invest your money should reflect your financial goals (retirement is a long-term event) and risk tolerance. Even if you invest 100 percent of your QPP in a variable program only part of your retirement allowance will fluctuate. The largest portion of your retirement money, the city-funded pension, is a guaranteed benefit based on a percentage of your final average salary and your years of service. This portion of your retirement allowance is not affected by how you choose to invest your contributions.
There are currently three investment choices:

The Fixed Fund, currently pays an 8.25 percent crediting rate for in-service members. The state Legislature may raise this amount or lower it, but it cannot be lowered below 7 percent. Because this is the only investment choice with a guaranteed rate, it is the best one for investors who wish to take no investment risks. The 8.25 percent is guaranteed until June 2009.

Variable A is a broadly diversified stock program. Its primary goal is growth and its secondary goal is preserving capital.

Stock market investments, historically, have been the most volatile choices we have had. For the first time in history the Variable A program had losses three years in a row during 2000, 2001 and 2002. While it is not easy to see the value of our accounts go down, it must be noted that those of us who had been contributing to the fund purchased our shares at a lower — perhaps bargain — price. If history were to repeat itself, we said during those down years, then stock investments should certainly go up again. And in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007 they did just that. In 2003 the Variable A fund increased by 29.86 percent, in 2004 it increased by 13.13 percent, in 2005 it increased by 7.64 percent. In 2006 I increased by 16.17 percent and in 2007 by 5.55 percent. We have recovered all of our losses. See the chart on page 4 to learn how Variable A and our other choices have done over longer periods of time.

If you decide to leave money in Variable A when you retire, your retirement allowance will rise if the stock market goes up and fall if the stock market goes down. In the past, the stock market has always recovered from any downturns, but there is no guarantee that future performance will repeat history.

Variable A is probably right for you if your primary investment goal is long-term growth and you understand the risks of such an investment.

Variable B invests in such instruments as guaranteed investment contracts with insurance companies and money market instruments. Variable B aims for positive current returns and security of principal. In 2007 it earned 4.28 percent.
Unlike the fixed investment choice, there is no guarantee in the Variable B program. Variable B is probably the right choice for you if you want to get current interest rates and are willing to tolerate a slight degree of risk, given that there is no built-in guarantee in this conservative investment choice. Because of the current low interest rate environment in the country, Variable B, while meeting its objective of providing current interest rates, is not currently earning as much as the fixed fund.

Or pick all three. You may divide your investments among all three of the funds — fixed, Variable A or Variable B — in 5 percent installments.

If you decide to change your investment selections, you must file the appropriate form with the TRS by June 1 for the TDA (changes will commence July 1) and by May 1 (changes will commence July 1) for the QPP.

The following chart allows you to compare the investment results of TRS choices with one another and with the performance of other investment indicators. Several time periods are shown, all ending on Dec. 31, 2007. For periods longer than one year, the figures indicate average annual returns. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Reminder: The TRS will likely introduce three new investment funds and new investment flexibility rules in mid-2008. Widespread publicity will be given to these new choices.

Percent Gain or Loss
  1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
Variable A Annuity 5.55 14.16 6.78
Russell 3000 5.14 13.63 6.22
Standard & Poor’s 500 5.49 12.83 5.91
Morningstar Domestic Equity
Funds Average
6.46 14.01 10.15
 
Variable B Annuity 4.28 3.75 4.64
90-Day Treasury Bills 5.00 3.07 3.71
2-Year Treasury Notes 7.49 3.11 4.62
Fixed Dollar Annuity 8.25 8.25 8.25
Periods ending December 31, 2007